Australia moved nearer to the ICC World Test Championship 2021-23 closing spot after securing a 2-0 collection win towards South Africa in Sydney on Sunday.
With 10 wins, a loss and 4 attracts to date, Australia prolonged its factors tally to 136 with a factors proportion (PCT) of 75.55. South Africa, which was in second place earlier than the beginning of the collection, slipped to the fourth place with a PCT of 48.71 after 13 video games.
India (58.93) and Sri Lanka (53.93) are within the second and third positions respectively with all 4 groups remaining within the mathematical rivalry for the final two spots. While India and Australia sq. off of their final set off matches throughout the Border-Gavaskar Trophy subsequent month, South Africa will host West Indies in a two-match collection in late February. Sri Lanka will host New Zealand within the final collection of the WTC 2021-23 cycle in March.
Here’s a have a look at the up to date WTC closing qualification eventualities for Australia, India, South Africa and Sri Lanka:
AUSTRALIA
Had Australia managed to clean South Africa 3-0 with a win within the Sydney Test, it could have put itself in such a commanding place that it could nonetheless make the WTC closing, no matter the results of the collection towards India away from residence.
With South Africa snatching away eight factors of Australia’s grasp with the draw, it could want a minimum of a draw to complete with a minimal PCT of 61.40, simply forward of Sri Lanka’s very best end.
Australia will qualify for the WTC closing with a powerful 80.07 PCT if it thumps India 4-0 to regain the Border-Gavaskar Trophy in March.
Best doable end: Beat India 0-4, end with 184 factors and PCT of 80.07
Worst doable end: Lose to India 4-0, end with 136 factors and PCT of 59.64.
INDIA
With South Africa’s large slip-up within the collection towards Australia, India has managed to push itself again to the second spot after beating Bangladesh 2-0 in December 2022. However, India (58.93) has to thwart the specter of Sri Lanka which may push itself to a 60-plus PCT when it takes on Australia of their four-match collection.
A 3-1 collection win towards Australia would simply be sufficient for India to complete with a PCT of 61.92 and qualify for the ultimate alongside the Ausses, forward of Sri Lanka’s best-possible outcome. A 2-2 collection draw for India will assist it end forward of South Africa’s best-possible outcome with a 56.4 PCT. It would even be sufficient for India to qualify ought to Sri Lanka drop factors in its two-match collection towards New Zealand.
Best doable end: Beat Australia 4-0, end with 147 factors and PCT of 67.43.
Worst doable end: Lose to Australia 0-4, end with 99 factors and PCT of 45.4.
SOUTH AFRICA
The debacle within the collection towards Australia has pushed the Proteas’ destiny out of their very own palms. A 2-0 win over West Indies will assist it end a PCT of 55.55. However, it could not be sufficient for a closing qualification if India manages to win a minimum of two of its remaining 4 matches.
Best doable end: Beat West Indies 2-0, end with 100 factors and PCT of 55.55.
Worst doable end: Lose to West Indies 0-2, end with 76 factors and PCT of 42.2.
SRI LANKA
A 2-0 win over New Zealand in March will assist Sri Lanka end with a PCT of 61.11. It would, nevertheless, not be adequate for qualification if India manages a collection scoreline of 3-1, 3-0 or 4-0 towards Australia. A 2-2 end for India towards Australia might put Sri Lanka by way of to the ultimate, if it manages to clean the Kiwis at residence.
Best doable end: Beat New Zealand 2-0, end with 88 factors and PCT of 61.11.
Worst doable end: Lose to New Zealand 0-2, end with 64 factors and PCT of 44.44.
CAN ENGLAND AND WEST INDIES STILL QUALIFY FOR THE WTC FINAL?
While they’re virtually out of the WTC closing race, England (46.97) and West Indies (40.91) nonetheless have their mathematical probabilities open.
England and West Indies WTC closing qualification probabilities
If issues go horribly incorrect for India (worst-possible 0-4 end v Australia), it could end with a PCT of 45.4 under England’s closing PCT tally of 46.97. Sri Lanka can also end at a lowly 44.44 PCT, if New Zealand manages a collection whitewash within the island nation.
If such an inconceivable situation arises, England can solely be toppled by the winner of the South Africa-West Indies collection. If South Africa beats West Indies 2-0, it should qualify for the WTC closing with a PCT of 55.55. South Africa may qualify with only one win within the collection.
If West Indies beats the Proteas 0-2, it might end at a PCT of fifty and qualify for the ultimate.
Meanwhile, Pakistan, New Zealand and Bangladesh are already out of the WTC closing race.
POINTS TABLE as of January 8, 2023.